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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESurf</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth Surface Dynamics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESurf</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Surf. Dynam.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2196-632X</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/esurf-2-35-2014</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Threshold effects of hazard mitigation in coastal human–environmental systems</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lazarus</surname>
<given-names>E. D.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2404-9661</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Dynamics Laboratory, Earth Surface Processes Research Group, School of Earth &amp; Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Main Building, Park Place, Cardiff CF10 3AT, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>24</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<issue>1</issue>
<fpage>35</fpage>
<lpage>45</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2014 E. D. Lazarus</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2014</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/2/35/2014/esurf-2-35-2014.html">This article is available from https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/2/35/2014/esurf-2-35-2014.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/2/35/2014/esurf-2-35-2014.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/2/35/2014/esurf-2-35-2014.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Despite improved scientific insight into physical and social dynamics
related to natural disasters, the financial cost of extreme events continues
to rise. This paradox is particularly evident along developed coastlines,
where future hazards are projected to intensify with consequences of climate
change, and where the presence of valuable infrastructure exacerbates risk.
By design, coastal hazard mitigation buffers human activities against the
variability of natural phenomena such as storms. But hazard mitigation also
sets up feedbacks between human and natural dynamics. This paper explores
developed coastlines as exemplary coupled human–environmental systems in
which hazard mitigation is the key coupling mechanism. Results from a
simplified numerical model of an agent-managed seawall illustrate the
nonlinear effects that economic and physical thresholds can impart into
coastal human–environmental system dynamics. The scale of mitigation action
affects the time frame over which human activities and natural hazards
interact. By accelerating environmental changes observable in some settings
over human timescales of years to decades, climate change may temporarily
strengthen the coupling between human and environmental dynamics. However,
climate change could ultimately result in weaker coupling at those human
timescales as mitigation actions increasingly engage global-scale systems.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="11"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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