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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESurf</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Earth Surface Dynamics</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESurf</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Surf. Dynam.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2196-632X</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/esurf-8-413-2020</article-id><title-group><article-title>Morphological evolution of bifurcations in tide-influenced deltas</article-title><alt-title>Morphological evolution of bifurcations in tide-influenced deltas</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Morphological evolution of bifurcations in tide-influenced deltas}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{A.~P. Iwantoro et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name><surname>Iwantoro</surname><given-names>Arya P.</given-names></name>
          <email>a.p.iwantoro@uu.nl</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5544-2530</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name><surname>van der Vegt</surname><given-names>Maarten</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name><surname>Kleinhans</surname><given-names>Maarten G.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9484-1673</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><institution>Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht
University, Utrecht, <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>3508 TC, the Netherlands</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Arya P. Iwantoro (a.p.iwantoro@uu.nl)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>2</day><month>June</month><year>2020</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>8</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>413</fpage><lpage>429</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>October</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>28</day><month>November</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>25</day><month>March</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>14</day><month>April</month><year>2020</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2020 Arya P. Iwantoro et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020.html">This article is available from https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e97">In river-dominated deltas, bifurcations often develop an
asymmetrical morphology; i.e. one of the downstream channels silts up, while
the other becomes the dominant one. In tide-influenced systems, bifurcations
are thought to be less asymmetric and both downstream channels of the
bifurcation remain open. The main aim of this study is to understand how
tides influence the morphological development of bifurcations. By using a
depth-averaged (2DH, two-dimensional horizontal) morphodynamic model (Delft3D), we simulated the morphological
development of tide-influenced bifurcations on millennial timescales. The
schematized bifurcation consists of an upstream channel forced by river
discharge and two downstream channels forced by tides. Two different cases
were examined. In the first case, the downstream channels started with
unequal depth or length but had equal tidal forcing, while in the second
case the morphology was initially symmetric but the downstream channels were
forced with unequal tides. Furthermore, we studied the sensitivity of
results to the relative role of river flow and tides. We find that with
increasing influence of tides over river, the morphology of the downstream
channels becomes less asymmetric. Increasing tidal influence can be achieved
by either reduced river flow with respect to the tidal flow or by
asymmetrical tidal forcing of the downstream channels. The main reason for
this behaviour is that tidal flows tend to be less unequal than river flows
when geometry is asymmetric. For increasing tidal influence, this causes
less asymmetric sediment mobility and therefore transport in both downstream
channels. Furthermore, our results show that bedload tends to divide less
asymmetrically compared to suspended load and confirm the stabilizing effect
of lateral bed slopes on morphological evolution as was also found in
previous studies. We show that the more tide-dominated systems tend to have
a larger ratio of bedload-to-suspended-load transport due to periodic low
sediment mobility conditions during a transition between ebb and flood. Our
results explain why distributary channel networks on deltas with strong
tidal influence are more stable than river-dominated ones.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e109">Deltas often consist of distributary channel networks. In these systems,
water and sediment are divided at the bifurcations and distributed over the
delta. The shape of the delta and the number of active channels depends on
many factors like the forcing by rivers, tides, and waves
(Galloway,
1975; Rossi et al., 2016; Shaw and Mohrig, 2014); sediment availability, and
sediment type  (Geleynse et al.,
2011). Bifurcations tend to develop differently in river- than in
tide-dominated systems, because tides influence the mouth bar formation
processes of active river-dominated deltas
(Edmonds and Slingerland, 2007; Leonardi et al., 2013; Shaw and Mohrig, 2014). In
tidal deltas tides propagate upstream and can induce bidirectional flows.
This unique characteristic may lead to a different morphological evolution
of the bifurcations than would occur in the river-dominated zone
(Frings and
Kleinhans, 2008; Hoitink et al., 2017), but this has not been proven yet and
the underlying mechanisms have not been studied. The focus of this paper is
on the stability and depth asymmetry of bifurcations in tidally influenced
deltas. We do not focus on the morphological evolution of the<?pagebreak page414?> entire delta
or the formation process of mouth bars, but we consider a single bifurcation
consisting of one upstream and two downstream channels. These are the
building blocks of deltas, and the hydro- and morphodynamics of such a system
have been studied before by many others (Wang et al., 1995; Bolla Pittaluga et al., 2003; Buschman et al., 2010, 2013;
Kleinhans et al., 2008; Sassi et al., 2011).</p>
      <p id="d1e112">In river-dominated systems, the morphology of the downstream channels of
bifurcations often develops asymmetrically, such that one downstream channel
deepens while the other silts up
(Kleinhans et al., 2008). In many cases this condition develops into an
avulsion. This asymmetric development can be triggered by a small
perturbation such as a different bed elevation at the junction
(Bolla Pittaluga et al., 2003), by a meandering
upstream channel nearby the bifurcation, or by the geometry of the downstream
channels such as different lengths of the downstream branches
(Kleinhans et al., 2008). The study
of this morphological evolution in river-dominated bifurcations was
pioneered by  Wang et al. (1995). They
applied an analytical model to predict the stability of river bifurcations.
They found that bifurcations can be stable if any tendency for a downstream
branch to become more dominant is counteracted by a relatively large share
of the sediment input. Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003) improved the model in Wang et al. (1995) by taking into account the cross-channel flow that can be induced by
an asymmetric cross-sectional profile at the bifurcation. This effect
induces a lateral bedload transport, which affects the asymmetric sediment
division to the downstream branches. Using this approach, they found that
the asymmetry of depth of the two downstream branches depends on the Shields
number and on the width-to-depth ratio of the upstream channel at the
bifurcation. Bifurcations with high width-to-depth ratio and low Shields number will be unstable and develop
asymmetrical depths.  Bertoldi and Tubino (2007)
confirmed the results by   Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003) using a physical-scale model. Kleinhans et al. (2008) proposed
that this asymmetrical depth development is also influenced by meandering of
the upstream channel. The meandering bend induces an asymmetrical
cross-sectional bed profile and thereby influences the division of sediment
at the junction.  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2015) continued
the work of  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003) for a
wider range of sediment mobility conditions. They found a range of sediment
mobility numbers that result in stable symmetric bifurcations. Meanwhile,
bifurcations with sediment mobility higher or lower than this range will
grow asymmetrically and avulse. Applying the concept of
Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003),
Salter et al. (2017) showed that deposition of
sediment at a relatively shallow shelf causes the shorter channel to
lengthen and reduce in gradient, thereby balancing the sediment transport
division between downstream channels with unequal lengths.
Redolfi et al. (2016)
eliminated the need for a calibrated parameter in the lateral bedload
transport by  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2015), and, by using
that approach,  Redolfi et al. (2019)
showed that stable, symmetric bifurcations can only occur when the
width-to-depth ratio of the upstream channel is below the critical limit
originally defined in the theory of meandering rivers by
Blondeaux and Seminara (1985), where the critical
limit value depends on the friction and Shields stress at bifurcation.</p>
      <p id="d1e115">In contrast to our knowledge of morphological development of bifurcations in
river-dominated systems, our knowledge of this particular area in
tide-influenced systems is still limited. Observations suggest that a
similar development as in river-dominated systems can occur, as, for example,
found in the most upstream bifurcation of the Yangtze Estuary that divides
the main channel into the North Branch and South Branch. According to
Chen et al. (1982), the North Branch has evolved
to be narrower and shallower, while the South Branch has deepened. However,
bifurcations in other tide-influenced deltas have downstream channels that
seem to have a less asymmetric depth distribution, e.g. the Berau
River delta  (Buschman et al., 2013) and
Kapuas River delta  (Kästner et al., 2017). It
has been suggested that tidal deltas have more stable distributary channel
networks than their river-dominated counterparts
(Hoitink et al., 2017), but the underlying
mechanisms are unknown. Furthermore, several studies have investigated tidal
characteristics at tidal bifurcations. Despite a general understanding on
tides and subtidal water division at tidally influenced bifurcations
(Buschman
et al., 2010, 2013; Sassi et al., 2011; Zhang et al., 2012;
Alebregtse and de Swart, 2016), the effect of tides on the morphological
evolution of tidal bifurcations has not been fully understood yet. From
previous studies it is clear that tides influence the subtidal flow
(Buschman et al., 2010;
Sassi et al., 2011) and sediment division
(Buschman et al., 2013), induce tidal
currents that influence the sediment mobility, and can cause cross-channel
currents at the junction (Buschman et al.,
2013; Kleinhans et al., 2013). In river systems, all these factors are
important for the morphological development of the downstream channels and
it is expected that this is also the case for tide-influenced systems.</p>
      <p id="d1e118">Therefore, the main aim of this paper is to study the effect of tides on the
morphological evolution of bifurcations with the focus on how tides
contribute to the asymmetrical development. For this purpose, an idealized
bifurcating channel was set-up in Delft3D. We simulated the morphological
evolution of a system consisting of two downstream channels (branches)
forced by tides and an upstream channel forced by river discharge. We
consider this system as a building block of each delta system. We studied
two cases, i.e. asymmetric geometry of downstream channels and asymmetric
tides between the downstream channels. In the former case, the asymmetric
downstream geometry was initially prescribed to see how tides affect the
asymmetrical development of the downstream channels. The relative effect of
tides was investigated by imposing equal tides at downstream boundary of
each downstream branch and by using different values for the river discharge
in a series of simulations. In the latter case,<?pagebreak page415?> we imposed unequal tidal
forcing at the two downstream boundaries that had a symmetric geometry. In
tide-influenced deltas, the asymmetric tides between downstream channels can
occur because the downstream channels are connected to other channels with
different complexity, which may dissipate the tidal range or slow down the
tides unequally before the tides propagate into the downstream channels of
the bifurcation.</p>
      <p id="d1e122">This paper is organized as follows. The model set-up and methodology are
described in Sect. 2. In Sect. 3, the results of the simulated
morphological development are presented. Section 4 presents a discussion on
the findings. Finally, the conclusions of this study are provided in Sect. 5.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Methodology</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Model set-up</title>
      <p id="d1e140">An idealized bifurcating channel was set up and its morphological
development was simulated using the depth-averaged version (2DH) of Delft3D.
This 2D approach is suitable for long-term large-scale morphodynamic
modelling, because it is computationally lighter than a 3D approach. Even
though a 3D approach allows for vertical flow patterns
(Lane et al., 1999) such as curvature-induced flow, which
might be important for the sediment transport process
(Daniel et al., 1999), the 2D approach is
sufficient for this study since we focus on large-scale morphodynamic
evolution and therefore simulating detailed 3D features of flow and morphology
is not our goal. Furthermore, the reason to prefer the 2D above the 1D
approach is to explicitly simulate cross-channel flow induced by tidal
propagation from one branch to another at the junction as observed in
Buschman et al. (2010, 2013) and as being
identified by  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003) as an
important process for sediment division at the junction.</p>
      <p id="d1e143">The model solved the 2DH unsteady shallow water equations using a
semi-implicit alternating direction implicit (ADI) scheme on a staggered
grid (see Lesser et al., 2004).
For bed friction, the Chézy formulation was used with a value of 60 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Meanwhile the horizontal eddy viscosity was set to 10 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. This value was chosen because applying a smaller value for
horizontal eddy viscosity will cause a numerical instability near the
bifurcation as flow magnitude and direction rapidly change in this location
and applying a larger value will not significantly affect the results.
Bedload and suspended load sediment transport were calculated by the
van Rijn (1993) method. We used medium sand with a
single grain size of 0.25 mm with a dry bed density of 1600 kg m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
This sediment size is in the range of observed grain size in tide-influenced
deltas, as, for example, by  Buschman et al. (2013) in the Berau River delta (0.125–0.25 mm), Kästner et al. (2017) in the Kapuas Delta
(0.22–0.3 mm),  Sassi et al. (2011) in the Mahakam
Delta (0.25–0.4 mm), and Stephens et al. (2017) in the Mekong Delta (0.074–0.385 mm). Transverse bed-slope effects for
bedload transport were accounted for by the approach of
Ikeda (1982), and we used a value of 10 for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. This value is much higher than the Delft3D default value (1.5) and
that suggested by  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003)
(0.3–1), because a low value of this parameter in Delft3D leads to
unrealistic and grid-size-dependent channel incision as well as bar
formations  (Baar et al., 2019). Even though we
prescribed a high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, this value is still in the range of what
other studies used for Delft3D modelling work
(e.g.
Dissanayake et al., 2009; van der Wegen and Roelvink, 2008, 2012). For streamwise bed-slope effects, the
Bagnold (1966) approach was used with a Delft3D default
value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bs</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. For morphology, the MorFac approach was used
(Lesser et al.,
2004; Roelvink, 2006) with an acceleration factor of 400. We tested several
values between 1 and 1000, and we chose the largest value for which morphology
had similar development as for a value of 1 and numerical stability was
satisfied. This allows for long-term morphodynamic simulation at timescales
of decades  (Lesser et al., 2004) and
centuries  (van der Wegen et al.,
2008) in a much shorter duration. Furthermore, in this study, non-erodible
channel banks were used. This limitation was acceptable since changes in
width-to-depth ratio could still be accommodated by the bed level change and
using erodible banks is not realistic as long as the model is not able to
allow for channel bank growth.</p>
      <p id="d1e243">The spatial domain consisted of an upstream channel that bifurcates in two
downstream channels. The two downstream channels had a default length of 30 km; although, in one series of simulations the length of one channel was 15 km. The upstream channel had a length of 220 km to ensure that upstream
propagating tides decay smoothly. The downstream channels and the first 20 km of the upstream channel had a convergent width profile, while the
upstream 200 km had a constant width. The channel width was configured by
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M9" display="block"><mml:mtable columnspacing="1em" rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">upstream</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="" open="{"><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">for</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">for</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">downstream</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
          in which <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the channel width, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the longitudinal distance from the
junction (i.e. negative in upstream direction, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at bifurcation, and
hence <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is positive in downstream channels), <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">480</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m is the
width at the junction and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km is the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-folding length
scale. Further, in a region within 800 m near the junction, an additional
widening was applied (Fig. 1b) to
overcome the loss of two grid cells (see grid description in
Kleinhans et al., 2008). This
widening is a typical feature of bifurcations found in delta systems
(Kleinhans et al., 2008). After the
additional widening, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> becomes 750 m.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e487"><bold>(a)</bold> Illustration of bifurcation model set-up from the upstream
channel forced by river discharge <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> to the downstream boundaries which are
forced by tidal water levels. Here, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates the depth and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates the length of each channel. Meanwhile, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indicate amplitude and phase of tidal water levels at each downstream
boundary. <bold>(b)</bold> Zoom of model grid near the junction, showing the additional
widening near the junction and the disappearance of two grid cells
downstream of the junction.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e537">The spatial domain of the model was discretized in a curvilinear grid and
followed the same method as in Kleinhans et al. (2008) and
Buschman et al. (2010). At the bifurcation
two grid cells had to be removed in the middle of the channel for numerical
reasons (Kleinhans et al., 2008),
as illustrated in<?pagebreak page416?> Fig. 1. The grid cell length in
the along-channel direction was 80 m. The upstream channel had 12 grid cells
across the channel, whereas in both downstream channels 5 grid cells were
used. Therefore, the grid cell size in the across-channel direction was
spatially varying in order to adapt the funnelling shape of the channel and the additional widening near the bifurcation.
Near the junction this resulted in a typical grid cell width of 62.5 m. Based on
grid size and channel depth, a time step of 6 s was used in all
simulations to have a Courant number smaller than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mo>√</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as required for
the ADI scheme. The domain had three open boundaries where boundary
conditions for flow and sediment transport were prescribed. At the upstream
end of the upstream channel river discharge was prescribed, while at the ends
of the two downstream channels <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> tidal water levels were imposed. At
all open boundaries, equilibrium sediment transport was computed during
inflow, while during outflow the sediment transport was assumed to be just
flushed out from the domain. As a result, no morphological change occurred
during inflow, but the bed is free to evolve during outflow.</p>
      <p id="d1e563">Because the formation of alternating bars will affect flow and sediment
division at the junction, the channel depth and upstream-prescribed river
discharge were chosen such that the system was in the overdamped bar regime
(Struiksma et al., 1985). To this
end, we conservatively followed the empirical classification proposed by
Kleinhans and van den Berg (2011).
Therefore, the three connected channels had an initial depth of 15 m and a
constant along-channel bed slope of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The prescribed
discharge ranged between 500 and 2800 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Description of model scenarios and boundary conditions</title>
      <p id="d1e625">Depth, width, and length of the downstream channels of bifurcations in deltas
can be unequal. Hence, in Case 1 we started the simulations with an unequal
geometry, either being a difference in depth or length between the two
downstream channels. We simulated the morphological evolution of the
bifurcation until it approximately reached morphodynamic equilibrium
(discussed later on). Note that the length of the branches was fixed in time,
while an initial depth difference does not necessarily result in an
asymmetric equilibrium depth because it can adapt. All simulations belonging
to Case 1 were forced by equal tides from downstream and river discharge
from upstream (settings summarized in Table 1). The depth difference
scenarios were performed in two different ways. First, simulations were
started from a system in which the upstream channel and one downstream
channel were 15 m deep, while the other branch was 7.5 m deep (called
Depth1). The upstream 2 km of the shallow downstream channel was gradually
changed over 2 km to avoid a sudden depth change near the bifurcation. In a
second type of simulation, we started with uniform bathymetry of 15 m depth
and simulated until morphodynamic equilibrium was reached (called Depth2).
Next, one downstream channel was made 0.5 m deeper and the other 0.5 m
shallower. We studied the sensitivity of the results to the relative
magnitude of tides over river discharge by changing the prescribed upstream
discharge. The simulation with largest river discharge (2800 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> represents a river-dominated system, while the simulations
with lower river discharge (500 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) represent the more
tide-influenced systems.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e676">Summary of simulations undertaken in the present study and their
boundary conditions (river discharge and tidal properties), as well as geometry
differences between the downstream channels.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Scenario</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Simulation name</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col4" nameend="col5" align="center"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (m) </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (km)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (m)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Branch 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Branch 2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Control simulation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Control_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Control_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth difference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Depth1_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Depth1_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Depth1_Q500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Depth2_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Depth2_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Length difference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Length_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Length_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Amplitude difference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Amp_0.75</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.75</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Amp_0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Amp_0.25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Phase difference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Phase_10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Phase_22.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">22.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Phase_35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1246">In Case 2 the effect of unequal tidal forcing on morphological development
was studied. In natural systems tides in the two downstream branches can be
unequally forced. For example, when the two branches end in a shelf sea,
amplitude and phase in the two channels can be different because they have a
different position with respect to the amphidromic system in the shelf sea.
Furthermore, in deltas with multiple bifurcations and unequal depths and
channel lengths, tidal amplitude and phase differences will be present in
the<?pagebreak page417?> channels because propagation speeds and times in the channels are
different. Hence, in Case 2 we started simulations with a symmetric geometry
but with asymmetric tidal forcing, either being a tidal water level
amplitude difference or a tidal phase difference. The corresponding settings
of the simulations can be found in Table 1. The difference in downstream
tidal forcing between the two channels was studied for values between 0
and 0.75 m (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Fig. 1 was 0.75, 0.5, or
0.25 m, while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was 1 m) where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">η</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are tidal water
level amplitude imposed at the downstream end of downstream channels 1 and 2,
respectively. Meanwhile for another set of simulations, the tides had equal
amplitude but the phase difference was 10, 22.5, or 35<inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
tide this means one channel had delayed tides of 20, 46, or 72 min).</p>
      <p id="d1e1315">We also performed two control simulations with different discharge,
symmetric geometry, and equal tides (see Table 1) to
study the equilibrium bed profiles in the absence of any initial asymmetry. The
morphology change simulated for Case 1 and Case 2 were caused by the
asymmetric forcing/geometry and by the adaptation to the initial conditions.
Therefore, the results of the control simulations can be used to better
interpret the simulations of Case 1 and Case 2.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Methods to evaluate model simulations</title>
      <p id="d1e1326">The morphological development of the bifurcation was observed by evaluating
for each downstream channel the tidally and spatially averaged depth of the
first 2 km from the bifurcation (Fig. 2, called
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> hereafter). This region was chosen because it
determined the morphological development of the entire downstream channel.
The development of the downstream channels starts from upstream and develops
downstream. Therefore, analysing the most upstream end of the downstream
channels is sufficient to determine the growth in asymmetry between them.
After analysing all cases, it was found that a distance shorter than 2 km
cannot be representative due to the presence of local morphological features
near the bifurcation such as bar formation or small incisions in the
downstream channel that is silting up. However, a longer distance cannot be
representative because even though one downstream channel almost avulsed
upstream, tides can cause a deepening of that same channel near the
downstream boundary. To determine whether the system was in morphodynamic
equilibrium, we analysed the evolution in time of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We
stopped the simulation when the changes in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were small. A
true morphodynamic equilibrium, in the sense that no bed level change
occurred in the entire domain, was never achieved. This is very common for
morphodynamic simulations of estuaries (van Der Wegen
and Roelvink, 2008; Nnafie et al., 2018). A typical simulated period was
between 1200 and 2400 years, depending on the prescribed river discharge.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1398">The grids in the surroundings of the bifurcation overlaid by the areas
where the bed level changes were evaluated (grey boxes) and the grids where the
asymmetry indices (red lines) and upstream channel flow (black line) were
calculated.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=199.169291pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1407">To compare the depth of the two downstream channels, the depth asymmetry
parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was calculated as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M54" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          A larger <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates a more asymmetric morphology. When <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is close to one, this indicates an avulsion, given that the widths
are fixed, while a zero value indicates equal depth of the downstream
channels.</p>
      <?pagebreak page418?><p id="d1e1491">The sediment mobility was evaluated by calculating the width-averaged value
of the Shields number two grid cells away from the bifurcation, as
illustrated in Fig. 2. The Shields number at each
grid point was calculated as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M57" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1650</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kg m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mi>g</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is gravitational acceleration (9.81 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the bed shear stress magnitude
expressed by
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M64" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          in which <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mi>C</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the Chézy coefficient and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is instantaneous flow
velocity. In tide-influenced systems, tides cause a temporal change of bed
shear stress, and we calculated both the peak and the tide-averaged value of
the Shields number. A Shields asymmetry parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
defined and calculated by
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M68" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced open="|" close="|"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the
width-averaged Shields number in each downstream channel, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the difference between both. A higher value of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates a more asymmetric sediment mobility
condition, while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates a symmetric sediment
mobility. When <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was based on peak bed shear stresses,
it is denoted by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
used when it is based on tidally averaged bed shear stresses.</p>
      <p id="d1e1918">At the grid locations where we determined the Shields number, we also
determined the tidally averaged (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> tidal (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
flow magnitudes, in a similar way as for the Shields number. Furthermore, we
calculated the width-integrated and tidally averaged bedload and suspended
load transport at the cross sections shown in Fig. 2.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Evolution of control runs</title>
      <p id="d1e1974">Results of the two control simulations show that bed levels were initially
not in morphodynamic equilibrium. The time-stack diagram of width-averaged
depth as a function of space is shown in Fig. 3.
The morphology changed over time until an approximate equilibrium was
reached, which took about 1200 years. There are two timescales involved.
First, there are deposition fronts from the upstream channel that migrate
downstream. Second, there is a slower adaptation to the equilibrium
condition. The results also show that true morphodynamic equilibrium, in the
sense that bed levels are steady, was not achieved after 1200 years.
However, bed level changes were small at the end of the simulation. The
lowest discharge resulted in the smallest depth for the upstream channel,
but the river discharge does not significantly affect the depth of the two
downstream channels. This is because both control simulations were imposed
by the same tidal forcing, and the morphology of the downstream channels is
mainly controlled by the tides. Typical depths are around 8–10 m for the
downstream channels and 10–12 m for the upstream one.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1979">Time-stack diagram of width- and tide-averaged depth (colour) of
the upstream channel (<bold>a, d</bold>; 0 km is junction, 20 km upstream) and
downstream channels (<bold>b, c, e, f</bold>; 0 km is junction, 30 km near
sea) as a function of distance from the bifurcation (vertical axis) for the
two control simulations. Panels <bold>(a, b, c)</bold> are the result
from the high-discharge simulation (Control_Q2800), while panels <bold>(d, e,  f)</bold> are for the low-discharge simulation
(Control_Q1596).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Geometry difference case</title>
      <p id="d1e2008">When simulations started with unequal channel depth, a similar evolution as
the control simulations occurred. The morphological evolution was
characterized by three typical timescales. First, there was erosion near
the bifurcation, mainly because of the decrease in the cross-sectional area
directly seaward of the bifurcation. Second, this erosion was followed by
deposition fronts that migrated downstream during the simulation. This
deposition front can be identified by a rapid decrease of the depth in the
downstream channels at the beginning or halfway through the simulation
(Fig. 4). It is similar to the evolution of
Control_Q2800 and Control_Q1596, but this
depositional front was not necessarily similar in the two downstream
channels because of the imposed differences in the initial bed level.
Furthermore, in the lowest discharge simulations (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)
it takes much longer for the deposition front to reach the downstream boundary; therefore, it takes much longer before the system is in the steady state.
Third, after the initial adaptation phase, the morphology of the channels
started to change gradually. Some simulations took 2400 years (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) until the morphological changes near the junction were
small. Furthermore, the results show that at the end of the simulation the
depth of the shallow branch depends on the discharge
(Fig. 4). The higher the discharge, the shallower
the shallowest branch is. For the deepest branch, it is the other way around. The
deepest branch is shallowest for the lowest discharge.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2080">Same plot as Fig. 3 but for simulations
of Depth1. The panels from top to bottom show the results from different
simulations (Depth1_Q2800, Depth1_Q1596,
Depth1_Q500, respectively), while from left to right panels show the
upstream channel, shallow branch, and deep branch, respectively.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2089">The simulations that were based on perturbed equilibrium depth (Depth2) had
a different morphological evolution and final equilibrium than the ones that
started with 7.5 m depth difference (results not shown). The Depth2
simulation did not show the fast, initial depth response, but was mainly
characterized by a slow adaptation to a new equilibrium, because the system
was still close to equilibrium at the start of the simulation. It took
relatively long to achieve the new equilibrium and total simulation time was
2400 years in this case.<?pagebreak page419?> Interestingly, although the external forcing for
the Depth1 and Depth2 simulations were the same, the final equilibria were
different. Because the depth in the channels influences the tidal dynamics
(by, for example, the relative importance of friction and by the difference in
tidal propagation speed due to the different initial depths), the
tide-induced flows were different at the junction and stayed different
during the entire simulation. Hence, the equilibrium not only depends on
external forcing but also on initial conditions. The initial and final
morphology near the bifurcation for all Depth1 and Depth2 simulations can be
seen in Appendix A.</p>
      <p id="d1e2093">The simulations with the <italic>length difference</italic> scenario show that the shortest branch
developed to be the deepest, while the longest became very shallow
(Fig. 5). The longest branch becomes so shallow
that it becomes morphologically inactive. This occurred for both the highest
and for the medium-discharge scenario, and it is also independent of the initial
conditions (starting with equilibrium bathymetry and shortened channel or
with 15 m deep channels). Meanwhile, the shortest channel was deepest for
the highest discharge condition. The final morphology near the bifurcation
for the<?pagebreak page420?> simulations in the <italic>length difference</italic> scenario is provided in Appendix A.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e2104">Time-stack diagram of width- and tide-averaged depth as a function
of space for the simulations in <italic>length difference</italic> scenario with the same
order as Fig. 4 but with short <bold>(b, e)</bold>
and long <bold>(c, f)</bold> downstream branches.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Tide difference case</title>
      <p id="d1e2130">Asymmetric forcing of tides resulted in asymmetric morphological evolution.
Because the system started out of equilibrium, the morphological evolution
is again characterized by a quick adaptation followed by a slow evolution to
the equilibrium. When forced by different tidal amplitude, the downstream
branch with the smallest downstream tidal forcing evolved into the
shallowest branch (Fig. 6). Interestingly, when
tidal amplitude in Branch 1 was decreased from 0.75  to 0.5 m or even 0.25 m the bifurcation evolved into a less asymmetric system. Furthermore, when
the two downstream channels were forced by equal amplitudes, but with
different phase, this also resulted in the development of an asymmetric
morphology of the bifurcation (Fig. 7). In
general, the channel with delayed tides developed smallest channel depth,
while the channel with earlier tides developed deeper channels.
Interestingly, the deposition front in the shallowest branch became stagnant
for the largest imposed phase differences, suggesting that the flow
magnitude was below the threshold for erosion (static equilibrium). However,
the depth around the bifurcation did not become zero and still evolved. The
larger the difference in tidal phase at the two downstream boundaries, the
shallower the delayed branch became, while the other branch was deeper. The
final morphology near the bifurcation for all simulations of this case is
provided in Appendix A.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e2135">Time-stack diagram of width- and tide-averaged depth as a function
of space for the <italic>amplitude difference</italic> scenario.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e2149">Time-stack diagram of width- and tide-averaged depth as a function
of space for the <italic>phase difference</italic> scenario.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Relation between tides and the morphological evolution of bifurcations</title>
      <p id="d1e2177">The results suggest that tides cause less asymmetric bifurcations. To
quantify how tides affect the morphology, the results from all scenarios
were correlated. Figure 8 shows a scatter plot and
linear fit between the final <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (dimensionless depth asymmetry)
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (dimensionless Shields asymmetry) for all model
simulations. As can be seen, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is linearly correlated with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Hence, the degree of
asymmetry in the morphology is directly related to the degree of asymmetry
in the sediment transport capacity. From the comparison of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> against <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 8a and Fig. 8b), the latter comparison shows the strongest relation and therefore the maximum mobility, which occurred during the peak ebb flow in our simulations and is the most representative to determine the morphological asymmetry of the downstream channels.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e2303">Relation between depth asymmetry number <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <bold>(a)</bold> the asymmetry in tidally averaged Shields number (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
and <bold>(b) </bold> the asymmetry in peak Shields number (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msub><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) at the equilibrium condition for all simulations from
scenarios described in Table 1. Note that in panel <bold>(a)</bold>, two simulations of the <italic>phase difference</italic> scenario and a simulation of the Depth1
scenario are slightly overlapping.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2374">According to Eq. (3), in a system with uniform sediment properties and water
density, the sediment mobility in the downstream channels only depends on
the total bed shear stress <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Because in the downstream channels
the flows are mainly in the along-channel direction, the instantaneous flow
velocity to calculate the total bed shear stress <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (4)
can be represented by the along-channel flow velocity. Based on a harmonic
analysis, it became clear that the mean flow (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> component
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) were the main tidal constituents and higher harmonics like
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were relatively small. Therefore, the maximum sediment mobility
scales very well with the square of summation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The sediment
mobility and flow conditions near the bifurcation for all simulations is
provided in Table A1 in Appendix A.</p>
      <p id="d1e2514">The relatively strong river discharge in the simulations performed causes
the ratios of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the upstream channel cross section near
the junction to be in the range between 0.2 and values slightly larger than
1 (see Fig. A3a in Appendix A). This similar
importance between those components indicates that our model is a mixed
river-influenced and tide-influenced system. For most simulations, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, dominated by
the river flow, in the two downstream branches was more asymmetric than
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (see Fig. A3b). In
river-dominated systems, bifurcations with higher flow division asymmetry
will also develop a more asymmetric morphology
(Kleinhans et al., 2008).
Interestingly, the tidal flows oppose the asymmetry induced by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> becomes less asymmetric with the increase of tidal influence, shown
by the decreasing trend in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for increasing sum of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the two downstream channels
(Fig. 9a), in which the summed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
measured from the width-averaged <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at cross section in the downstream
channels shown in Fig. 2. This explains why the
increased tidal influence, indicated by larger sum of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
Fig. 9a and b,
causes less asymmetric bifurcations. Due to tides, the sediment mobility in
both channels is closer to each other than without tides
(Fig. 9b). A more tide-influenced condition is not
only achieved by decreasing river discharge but also by inducing an
asymmetry in the tidal forcing in the downstream channels. For increased difference in either amplitude or phase, the sum of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in both
downstream channels also increased and became similar in magnitude. The
scatter in the results shown in Fig. 9 is caused
by the different imposed asymmetries for different scenarios. The asymmetry
is not only controlled by external forcing but also determined by internal
dynamics when the depth of the branches develop, and, because we have
different types of initial asymmetries (forcing, depth, length), there is
quite some scatter in Fig. 9. Still, we found that all simulations have a
similar behaviour; i.e. a more tidal influence drives less morphological
asymmetry between downstream channels.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e2710">Comparison between <bold>(a)</bold> tidal flow asymmetry and <bold>(b)</bold> peak Shields
number asymmetry in the two downstream branches against the total tidal flow
magnitude from the two downstream channels.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2725">There are two processes that drive a less asymmetric tidal flow in the more
tide-influenced condition. First, the propagation of tides from the dominant
downstream channel to the other downstream channel balances the tidal flow
in the two downstream channels. This process mainly rules in the tide difference
case. Tidal forcing asymmetry between downstream channels drives tidal
propagation from one downstream channel to the other and results in phase
lags of tidal<?pagebreak page421?> flow inducing strong cross-channel flow at the junction
(similarly as discussed in  Buschman et
al., 2013). This can be seen by a larger cross-channel flow in the upstream
channel near the bifurcations for larger asymmetry between the prescribed
tides in Fig. 10. This cross-channel flow is
dominated by the tides (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), while its mean flow value (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) was
close to zero. Strong cross-channel flows caused erosion at the bifurcation,
resulting in a trench-like scour connecting the downstream channels. This
scour can be found in the <italic>amplitude difference</italic>  and <italic>phase difference</italic> scenarios and is most
pronounced in the simulation Amp_0.25 (see
Fig. A2c–f in Appendix A). Although a bar
developed in the upstream channel on the side of the downstream channel
imposed with lower tidal amplitude, the cross-channel flows deepened the bed
at bifurcation and maintained the connection between both downstream
channels and the upstream channel. The development of the trench-like scour
at the bifurcations is also observed in the Berau River delta
(Buschman et al., 2013) and Mahakam
Delta  (Sassi et al., 2011). This deepening at the
bifurcation can be also affected by the angle of the bifurcation (something
we did not study here). Second, with equal tides imposed in the two
downstream channels for <italic>depth difference</italic> and <italic>length difference</italic> scenarios, the larger
river discharge in the dominant downstream channel dampens the tides in this
channel, while the shallowing bed level in the other downstream channel
increases the tidal flow in this channel. As a result, this combining effect
induces a less asymmetric tidal flow in the downstream channels.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e2769">Cross-channel flow of <bold>(a)</bold> tidal current amplitude and <bold>(b)</bold> mean
current at bifurcation in the upstream channel for all simulations.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f10.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<?pagebreak page422?><sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Role of bedload versus suspended load</title>
      <p id="d1e2792">In the theory of  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003, 2015) the lateral bed slope
causes additional sediment transport into the dominant channel, thereby
having a stabilizing effect on the bifurcation. Here, we used the
van Rijn (1993) sediment transport formulations in
which bed slope only affects the bedload transport and not the suspended
load transport. Based on this, we expected that bedload transport will be
divided less asymmetrically than suspended load transport. To check this
hypothesis, the tidally averaged and width-integrated sediment transport at
the cross sections shown in Fig. 2 were
calculated. We calculated an asymmetry index in a similar way as we did for the
Shields number and depth. The results of the scatter plot of suspended load
asymmetry versus bedload asymmetry index clearly show that suspended load
tends to be divided more asymmetrically at the bifurcation
(Fig. 11a). Only when the system is fully
symmetric or asymmetric is there no difference in asymmetry of bedload and
suspended load transport, because the downstream channels receive an equal
amount of sediment when the downstream channels are<?pagebreak page423?> symmetric, while only
one downstream channel receives all sediment when an avulsion occurs (both
bedload and suspended load asymmetry are 1). Furthermore, from a scatter
plot of depth asymmetry (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) versus the ratio of bedload to
suspended load transport in the upstream channel, it becomes clear that
systems that have more asymmetric bed levels have a smaller contribution of
bedload transport to the total transport and vice versa
(Fig. 11b). However, there is also some
considerable scatter due to the sensitivity to the initially imposed
asymmetry. Lastly, a scatter plot of the ratio of mean flow and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> flow
magnitude versus the ratio of bedload and suspended load transport in the
upstream channel (Fig. 11c) suggest that when
river flow is relatively important, the system is dominated by suspended load,
while for more tide-dominated conditions bedload plays a more important
role. This further explains why the more tide-dominated conditions result in
less asymmetric morphology.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e2819">Comparisons of <bold>(a)</bold> suspended load asymmetry (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) against bedload asymmetry (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) overlaid with the line
of equality (black line), <bold>(b)</bold> scatter plot of morphology asymmetry (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) against ratio of bedload and suspended load transport in the
upstream channel, and <bold>(c)</bold> scatter plot ratio of bedload and suspended load
transport in the upstream channel against the dominance of river flow over
tidal flows in the upstream channels. The legend for all panels is provided
in panel <bold>(c)</bold>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f11.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Sensitivity to sediment grain size and lateral bed-slope effect</title>
      <p id="d1e2890">Defining a different sediment grain size would change the sediment mobility
and drive a different ratio of bedload to suspended load transport. These
would affect the sediment transport division and therefore the morphological
development in the downstream channels. When using finer sediment, this
results in a more asymmetric development of the downstream channels, as is
shown in Fig. 12. The finer sand<?pagebreak page424?> induces a larger
contribution of suspended load transport to total sediment transport and
therefore counteracts the stabilizing effect by the transverse bed-slope
effect on the bedload. As a result, the depth asymmetry between downstream
channels increases. Similarly, a coarser sediment results in smaller depth
asymmetry between the downstream channels.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F12" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{12}?><label>Figure 12</label><caption><p id="d1e2895">Initial <bold>(a, c, e)</bold> and final <bold>(b, d,  f)</bold> depth near the
bifurcation for coarser sand <bold>(a, b)</bold>, applied sand <bold>(c, d)</bold>, and finer
sand <bold>(e, f)</bold> using the set-up of simulation Depth1_Q2800.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f12.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2919">The importance of the effect of lateral bed slope to oppose the asymmetrical
morphological development between downstream channels causes the model
results to be sensitive to the parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Using physical
scale models, previous studies have suggested that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
should take values between 0.2 and 1.5 (Baar
et al., 2018; Ikeda, 1982; Schuurman et al., 2013; Talmon et al., 1995).
However, Delft3D shows unrealistic morphological development when small
values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are used, as shown in Fig. 13. Simulation Depth1_Q2800
with small <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) showed the development
of an elongated bar upstream on the side of the shallow downstream channel and a
large incision occurred on the other side. This unrealistic behaviour has
also been evaluated by  Baar et al. (2019).
The use of a small value for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> causes the morphological
development to be dependent on the grid size
(Baar et al., 2019). Several studies have used
much higher values to overcome this issue
(e.g.
Dissanayake et al., 2009; van der Wegen and Roelvink, 2008, 2012). Using our model set-up, the model results started to be
insensitive to the value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> when <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
10. Using this value, the lateral slope developing upstream of the
bifurcation is less than 3 times the upstream channel width as also
suggested by  Bolla Pittaluga et al. (2003) and
Kleinhans et al. (2008) for river-dominated bifurcations.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F13" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{13}?><label>Figure 13</label><caption><p id="d1e3018">Initial <bold>(a, c)</bold> and final <bold>(b, d)</bold> depth near the bifurcation
for large <bold>(a, b)</bold> and small <bold>(c, d)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">bn</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> using the set-up of
simulation Depth1_Q2800.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f13.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <label>4.4</label><title>Implications of results</title>
      <p id="d1e3058">From the findings presented in this paper, we can predict how tides will
influence the morphological evolution of deltas. In the seaward part of
tide-influenced deltas, especially those with seaward-widening channels,
river flow tends to be small relative to the tidal flows. In these regions
we only expect asymmetry in morphology when the branches are unequally
forced by tides. The tides tend to keep all the branches open and have
similar depths. In the upstream part of deltas, river flows tend to be
larger, which can result in large morphological asymmetries. However, the
different possible pathways of the tide along the channel networks can
generate differences in tidal amplitude and tidal phase between branches,
inducing relatively strong tidal currents at the junction. This prevents the
closure of one downstream channel and erodes the bed at the junction because
of the strong cross-channel flows.</p>
      <p id="d1e3061">Morphological development of bifurcations occurs on a long timescale and
several external causes and internal processes neglected here can affect
bifurcation stability (also see the review in
Kleinhans et al., 2013), such as of sea level rise
(Jerolmack, 2009; van
Der Wegen, 2013), changes in upstream discharge or sediment supply
(Syvitski and Milliman,
2007), channel bank erosion or growth  (Miori et al.,
2006), and delta front development that could change the length of a branch (Salter et al., 2017). However, we have provided
a basic explanation on how tides can stabilize the morphology of deltas.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>5</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e3074">In this article, the effect of tides on the morphological development of
bifurcations was investigated using a numerical modelling approach in
Delft3D. An idealized bifurcation was built by splitting an upstream channel
into two downstream branches. The idealized bifurcations were forced by
river discharge from upstream and tides from downstream. To identify the
effect of tides, two cases were studied, namely<?pagebreak page425?> geometry difference (length
and depth of channels) and tide difference (difference in prescribed tides
at the two downstream channels).</p>
      <p id="d1e3077">The results show that an increased tidal influence compared to river influence
results in a less asymmetric morphology of the bifurcation. This increased
tidal influence can be achieved either by smaller river discharge or by
asymmetric tides from downstream. The main mechanism is that tidal flows
tend to be less asymmetric in the two downstream channels than tidally
averaged flows. This causes the peak Shields number in the branches to be
closer to each other with increasing influence of tides. Furthermore, we
have shown that bedload transport tends to be divided less asymmetrically
than suspended load due to the influence of lateral bed slopes, which tends
to stabilize the system. In our simulations, bifurcations with increased
tidal influence had a relatively high ratio of bedload over suspended load
transport and therefore developed a less asymmetric morphology than in
river-dominated systems. Our results can explain why tides tend to stabilize
the bifurcations in deltas.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>

<?pagebreak page426?><app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <?xmltex \currentcnt{A}?><label>Appendix A</label><title/>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A1}?><label>Figure A1</label><caption><p id="d1e3093">Initial (left panels) and final (right panels) depth near the
bifurcation for all simulations in Case 1. For the <italic>depth difference</italic> scenario
<bold>(a–j)</bold>, the top branch in each panel is the deep downstream branch and
the bottom one is the shallow downstream branch. For the <italic>length difference</italic>
scenario <bold>(k–n)</bold>, the top branch in each panel is the long downstream
branch and the bottom branch is the short downstream branch.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f14.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F15"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A2}?><label>Figure A2</label><caption><p id="d1e3118">Final depth for Case 2. For the <italic>amplitude difference</italic> scenario <bold>(a–c)</bold>, the downstream branch imposed by low tides is the bottom branch, while
for the <italic>phase difference</italic> scenario <bold>(d–f)</bold> the bottom branch is the
downstream branch imposed by delayed tides.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f15.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F16"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A3}?><label>Figure A3</label><caption><p id="d1e3145"><bold>(a)</bold> Ratio of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for all simulations and <bold>(b)</bold> comparison of asymmetry of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> against asymmetry of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/8/413/2020/esurf-8-413-2020-f16.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><table-wrap id="App1.Ch1.S1.T2"><?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?><?xmltex \currentcnt{A1}?><label>Table A1</label><caption><p id="d1e3217">Sediment mobility (tide-averaged and maximum), mean flow, and tidal
flow amplitude at the cross sections near the bifurcation as shown in
Fig. 2 for all simulations. Main channel is the
upstream channel, minor branch is the downstream channel that tends to be
shallower, and major branch is the deepened downstream channel.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.95}[.95]?><oasis:tgroup cols="13">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="11" colname="col11" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="12" colname="col12" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="13" colname="col13" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Simulation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col4" align="center" colsep="1">Mobility (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ave</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col5" nameend="col7" align="center" colsep="1">Mobility (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">τ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col8" nameend="col10" align="center" colsep="1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col11" nameend="col13" align="center"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Main</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minor</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Major</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Main</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Minor</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Major</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Main</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Minor</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">Major</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">Main</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">Minor</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">Major</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">channel</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">channel</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">channel</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">channel</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">branch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">branch</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth1_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.76</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.66</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.67</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.30</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.54</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.52</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth1_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.09</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.29</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.24</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.44</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.22</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.32</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.39</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.42</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.52</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth1_Q500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.07</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.07</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.09</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.18</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.09</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.09</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.13</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth2_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.13</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.37</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.29</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.21</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Depth2_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.12</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.27</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.30</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.22</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.24</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.41</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.49</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Length2_Q2800</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.22</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.08</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.60</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.00</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.44</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.53</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Length2_Q1596</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.08</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.24</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.08</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.12</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.01</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.29</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.32</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.21</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.55</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Phase_10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.67</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.30</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.18</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.53</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.17</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.55</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Phase_22.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.38</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.66</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.51</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.36</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.30</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.56</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Phase_35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.17</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.07</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.27</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.41</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.68</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.22</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.05</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.47</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.47</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.61</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Amp_0.75</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.17</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.42</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.23</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.66</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.47</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.58</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Amp_0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.49</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.37</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.66</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.33</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.46</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.61</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Amp_0.25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.23</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.54</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.58</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.59</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.33</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.42</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.51</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.49</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">0.71</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="codeavailability"><title>Code availability</title>

      <p id="d1e4003">The model set-up for all Delft3D simulations is provided in the Supplement.
The results presented were simulated using the Delft3D software package
(Delft3D-flow version 4.01.00.rc.04).</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e4006">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-8-413-2020-supplement" xlink:title="zip">https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-8-413-2020-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e4015">API, MvdV, and MGK designed the study. API conducted the numerical
modelling, performed the output analysis, and interpretation and wrote the
article with major input from MvdV and MGK. MvdV conducted part of the
output analysis and edited the paper.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e4021">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e4027">This research has been supported by the Indonesia Endowment Fund for Education (LPDP) (grant no. 20161222029838).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e4033">This paper was edited by Patricia Wiberg and reviewed by John Shaw and one anonymous referee.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Morphological evolution of bifurcations in tide-influenced deltas</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>In river-dominated deltas, bifurcations often develop an
asymmetrical morphology; i.e. one of the downstream channels silts up, while
the other becomes the dominant one. In tide-influenced systems, bifurcations
are thought to be less asymmetric and both downstream channels of the
bifurcation remain open. The main aim of this study is to understand how
tides influence the morphological development of bifurcations. By using a
depth-averaged (2DH, two-dimensional horizontal) morphodynamic model (Delft3D), we simulated the morphological
development of tide-influenced bifurcations on millennial timescales. The
schematized bifurcation consists of an upstream channel forced by river
discharge and two downstream channels forced by tides. Two different cases
were examined. In the first case, the downstream channels started with
unequal depth or length but had equal tidal forcing, while in the second
case the morphology was initially symmetric but the downstream channels were
forced with unequal tides. Furthermore, we studied the sensitivity of
results to the relative role of river flow and tides. We find that with
increasing influence of tides over river, the morphology of the downstream
channels becomes less asymmetric. Increasing tidal influence can be achieved
by either reduced river flow with respect to the tidal flow or by
asymmetrical tidal forcing of the downstream channels. The main reason for
this behaviour is that tidal flows tend to be less unequal than river flows
when geometry is asymmetric. For increasing tidal influence, this causes
less asymmetric sediment mobility and therefore transport in both downstream
channels. Furthermore, our results show that bedload tends to divide less
asymmetrically compared to suspended load and confirm the stabilizing effect
of lateral bed slopes on morphological evolution as was also found in
previous studies. We show that the more tide-dominated systems tend to have
a larger ratio of bedload-to-suspended-load transport due to periodic low
sediment mobility conditions during a transition between ebb and flood. Our
results explain why distributary channel networks on deltas with strong
tidal influence are more stable than river-dominated ones.</p></abstract-html>
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