Articles | Volume 13, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-1157-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Progressive destabilization of a freestanding rock pillar in permafrost on the Matterhorn (Swiss Alps): Hydro-mechanical modeling and analysis
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- Final revised paper (published on 12 Nov 2025)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 24 Mar 2025)
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Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1151', Anonymous Referee #1, 13 May 2025
- RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1151', Anonymous Referee #2, 14 May 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Samuel Weber, 09 Jul 2025
Peer review completion
AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Samuel Weber on behalf of the Authors (17 Jul 2025)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (25 Jul 2025) by Dirk Scherler
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (07 Aug 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (12 Aug 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (20 Aug 2025) by Dirk Scherler
AR by Samuel Weber on behalf of the Authors (20 Aug 2025)
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ED: Publish as is (21 Aug 2025) by Dirk Scherler
ED: Publish as is (25 Aug 2025) by Andreas Lang (Editor)
AR by Samuel Weber on behalf of the Authors (29 Aug 2025)
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The article addresses a very current topic, i.e. the analysis of processes and mechanisms responsible for the instability of rock masses in permafrost, with particular emphasis on climatic drivers, and therefore on the potential impacts of climate change, and on monitoring/modelling procedures potentially useful for warning purposes. While many studies have shown a significant increase in rock slope instability under ongoing climate change, the specific mechanisms that cause individual instabilities are still poorly understood and little investigated, especially with regard to small-scale (but frequent) events. As a result, warning procedures still remain a challenge. The authors propose an approach based on the integration of field data, laboratory tests and numerical modelling, applied to the case study of the collapse of a rock pillar in June 2023 on the Matterhorn. The paper highlights the role of snow-melt water percolation within frozen rock masses, pointing out the occurrence of precursory signals a few days before collapse. The paper is structured in a clear and rigorous way; objectives, data and methods are well illustrated, and the conclusions are adequately supported by the results. Below are some considerations aimed at clarifying some points and further improving the excellent overall quality of the manuscript.
L140: “A Vaisala WXT520 weather station is available both at the rockfall zone at 3500m asl as well as at the Solvay Hut at 4003m asl”: What kind of data are recorded by these stations? Is precipitation included? Precipitation data are not mentioned in the text, although rainfall has been indicated as one of the potential drivers of thawing (see L383): the paper doesn’t specify whether rainfall occurred in the days preceding the collapse, and only snowmelt is considered responsible for the percolation of water into the frozen rock mass.
L255: “While both the rock and air temperatures in spring 2023 and the month of failure (June 2023) are within the range of the longterm average (see Fig. 3 and supplementary Fig. S3)…”: actually, according to figure S3, the rock temperature shows an interesting trend in 2023, always remaining around -0.5 °C in the months 1-6 at 2m depth, which corresponds to the ALT in 2022, while in previous years it reached a minimum between -1.5 °C to -2.5 °C in April. Furthermore, Fig. S3e shows that at 0.6 m rock temperature increased significantly in the 2 weeks preceding the event. I think these data should be shown in Figure 3 and mentioned and discussed in the paper.
L256: “the humidity in spring and June 2023 is remarkably high”: this observation has not been discussed nor taken into account in the rest of the paper, you may consider to remove this information or you should include in the discussion.
L366: “rapid decrease in snow depth at the nearby IMIS weather station Stafelalp/ZER4, see supplementary Fig. S7”: to make this observation more evident, it would be useful to add a bar in Fig. S7 corresponding to the day of the rock pillar collapse, as it has been done in most of the figures. Furthermore, the dynamics of the snowpack does not appear different compared to previous years: it would be appropriate to mention this point and take it into account in the discussion.
L414: “The clear diurnal pattern of short (< 9s) seismic pulses implies freeze and thermal contraction as the main drivers of those events”. Isn't the observation (Fig. 10b) that the short seismic pulses increase in the pre-collapse period, which in the diurnal cycle are linked to the nocturnal freezing, in contradiction with the thesis supported by the paper that it is the melting triggered by the percolation of snow melt water in the frozen mass that causes the triggering of rock pillar instability?
For data and method comparison purposes, did you consider the work of the group of Magnin et al. on similar topics? (e.g. Magnin, F., & Josnin, J. Y. (2021). Water flows in rock wall permafrost: A numerical approach coupling hydrological and thermal processes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 126(11), e2021JF006394; Ben-Asher, M., Magnin, F., Westermann, S., Malet, E., Berthet, J., Bock, J., ... & Deline, P. (2022). Estimating surface water availability in high mountain rock slopes using a numerical energy balance model. Earth Surface Dynamics Discussions, 2022, 1-25).
Technical corrections:
L44: “Scandroglio et al., 2025”: not in the reference list.
L77-78: “Together with similar instrumentation and monitoring techniques on the Italian side”: if possible, please add at least one reference.
L91: “1981–1990”: did you mean 1981-2010? Usually climatic reference periods are 30-yrs long.
L277: “Both local terrestrial”: change to “both local terrestrial”.
Figure 1: “Hörnli hutte” change to “Hörnli hut” to be consistent with the rest of the text.
Figure 3, caption: “since 23 June 2023”: you probably mean “until 23 June 2023”.
Figure S8, caption: please complete the caption explaining each subfigure (a, b, etc.).