Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
Earth Surf. Dynam., 7, 301–320, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019
Earth Surf. Dynam., 7, 301–320, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019

Research article 18 Mar 2019

Research article | 18 Mar 2019

Development of proglacial lakes and evaluation of related outburst susceptibility at the Adygine ice-debris complex, northern Tien Shan

Kristyna Falatkova et al.

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Latest update: 12 Jun 2021
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Short summary
In the last 50 years the Adygine glacier has been subject to relatively fast recession comparable to other glaciers in Tien Shan. As a consequence, a three-level cascade of glacial lakes formed, two of which were categorised as having medium outburst susceptibility. By 2050, the glacier is expected to have shrunk to 56–73 % of its 2012 extent. Further development of the site will result in formation of new lakes and probably also increase of outburst susceptibility due to permafrost degradation.