Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019
Research article
 | 
18 Mar 2019
Research article |  | 18 Mar 2019

Development of proglacial lakes and evaluation of related outburst susceptibility at the Adygine ice-debris complex, northern Tien Shan

Kristyna Falatkova, Miroslav Šobr, Anton Neureiter, Wolfgang Schöner, Bohumír Janský, Hermann Häusler, Zbyněk Engel, and Vojtěch Beneš

Related authors

A benchmark data set for long-term monitoring in the eLTER site Gesäuse-Johnsbachtal
Florian Lippl, Alexander Maringer, Margit Kurka, Jakob Abermann, Wolfgang Schöner, and Manuela Hirschmugl
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-12,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-12, 2024
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary
Future drought over Urmia Lake Basin under SSP scenarios: the relevance of snow melt
Maral Habibi, Iman Babaeian, and Wolfgang Schöner
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2024-48,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2024-48, 2024
Preprint under review for HESS
Short summary
Accumulation by avalanches as significant contributor to the mass balance of a High Arctic mountain glacier
Bernhard Hynek, Daniel Binder, Michele Citterio, Signe Hillerup Larsen, Jakob Abermann, Geert Verhoeven, Elke Ludewig, and Wolfgang Schöner
The Cryosphere Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2023-157,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2023-157, 2023
Preprint under review for TC
Short summary
The importance of regional sea-ice variability for the coastal climate and near-surface temperature gradients in Northeast Greenland
Sonika Shahi, Jakob Abermann, Tiago Silva, Kirsty Langley, Signe Hillerup Larsen, Mikhail Mastepanov, and Wolfgang Schöner
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 747–771, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-747-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-747-2023, 2023
Short summary
Apparent contradiction in the projected climatic water balance for Austria: wetter conditions on average versus higher probability of meteorological droughts
Klaus Haslinger, Wolfgang Schöner, Jakob Abermann, Gregor Laaha, Konrad Andre, Marc Olefs, and Roland Koch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2749–2768, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2749-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2749-2023, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Physical: Landscape Evolution: modelling and field studies
Flexural isostatic response of continental-scale deltas to climatically driven sea level changes
Sara Polanco, Mike Blum, Tristan Salles, Bruce C. Frederick, Rebecca Farrington, Xuesong Ding, Ben Mather, Claire Mallard, and Louis Moresi
Earth Surf. Dynam., 12, 301–320, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-301-2024, 2024
Short summary
Scaling between volume and runout of rock avalanches explained by a modified Voellmy rheology
Stefan Hergarten
Earth Surf. Dynam., 12, 219–229, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-219-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-219-2024, 2024
Short summary
Past anthropogenic land use change caused a regime shift of the fluvial response to Holocene climate change in the Chinese Loess Plateau
Hao Chen, Xianyan Wang, Yanyan Yu, Huayu Lu, and Ronald Van Balen
Earth Surf. Dynam., 12, 163–180, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-163-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-163-2024, 2024
Short summary
Steady-state forms of channel profiles shaped by debris flow and fluvial processes
Luke A. McGuire, Scott W. McCoy, Odin Marc, William Struble, and Katherine R. Barnhart
Earth Surf. Dynam., 11, 1117–1143, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1117-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1117-2023, 2023
Short summary
Refining patterns of melt with forward stratigraphic models of stable Pleistocene coastlines
Patrick Boyden, Paolo Stocchi, and Alessio Rovere
Earth Surf. Dynam., 11, 917–931, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-917-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-917-2023, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Aizen, V. B., Aizen, E. M., and Melack, J. M.: Precipitation, melt and runoff in the northern Tien Shan, J. Hydrol., 186, 229–251, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03022-3, 1996. 
Aizen, V. B., Kuzmichenok, V. A., Surazakov, A. B., and Aizen, E. M.: Glacier changes in the central and northern Tien Shan during the last 140 years based on surface and remote-sensing data, Ann. Glaciol., 43, 202–213, https://doi.org/10.3189/172756406781812465, 2006. 
Aizen, V. B., Kuzmichenok, V. A., Surazakov, A. B., and Aizen, E. M.: Glacier changes in the Tien Shan as determined from topographic and remotely sensed data, Global Planet. Change, 56, 328–340, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.016, 2007a. 
Aizen, V. B., Aizen, E. M., and Kuzmichonok, V. A.: Glaciers and hydrological changes in the Tien Shan: simulation and prediction, Environ. Res. Lett., 2, 045019, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045019, 2007b. 
Alean, J.: Ice avalanches: some empirical information about their formation and reach, J. Glaciol., 31, 324–333, https://doi.org/10.3189/S0022143000006663, 1985. 
Download
Short summary
In the last 50 years the Adygine glacier has been subject to relatively fast recession comparable to other glaciers in Tien Shan. As a consequence, a three-level cascade of glacial lakes formed, two of which were categorised as having medium outburst susceptibility. By 2050, the glacier is expected to have shrunk to 56–73 % of its 2012 extent. Further development of the site will result in formation of new lakes and probably also increase of outburst susceptibility due to permafrost degradation.